Life in the world鈥檚 oceans faces far greater change and risk of large-scale extinctions than at any previous time in human history, a team of the world鈥檚 leading marine scientists has warned.
The researchers from Australia, the US, Canada, Germany, Panama, Norway and the UK have compared events which drove massive extinctions of sea life in the past with what is observed to be taking place in the seas and oceans globally today.
Three of the five largest extinctions of the past 500 million years were associated with global warming and acidification of the oceans 鈥� trends which also apply today, the scientists say in a new article in the journal Trends in Ecology and Evolution.
Other extinctions were driven by loss of oxygen from seawaters, pollution, habitat loss and pressure from human hunting and fishing 鈥� or a combination of these factors.
鈥淐urrently, the Earth is again in a period of increased extinctions and extinction risks, this time mainly caused by human factors,鈥� the scientists said.
While the data is harder to collect at sea than on land, the evidence points strongly to similar pressures now being felt by sea life as for land animals and plants.
The researchers conducted an extensive search of the historical and fossil records to establish the main causes of previous marine extinctions 鈥� and the risk of their recurring today.
鈥淲e wanted to understand what had driven past extinctions of sea life and see how much of those conditions prevailed today,鈥� said co-author Professor John Pandolfi, of the and .
Professor Pandolfi is an authority on the fate of coral reefs in previous mass extinction events.
鈥淚t is very useful to look back in time 鈥� because if you forget your history, you鈥檙e liable to repeat it,鈥� he said.
Marine extinction events vary greatly.
In the 鈥楪reat Death鈥� of the Permian 250 million years ago, for example, an estimated 95 per cent of marine species died out due to a combination of warming, acidification, loss of oxygen and habitat.
Scientists have traced the tragedy in the chemistry of ocean sediments laid down at the time, and abrupt loss of many sea animals from the fossil record.
鈥淲e are seeing the signature of all those drivers today 鈥� plus the added drivers of human overexploitation and pollution from chemicals, plastics and nutrients,鈥� Professor Pandolfi said.
鈥淭he fossil record tells us that sea life is very resilient 鈥� that it recovers after one of these huge setbacks.
"But also that it can take millions of years to do so.鈥�
The researchers wrote the paper out of their concern that the oceans appear to be on the brink of another major extinction event.
鈥淭here may be still time to act,鈥� Professor Pandolfi says.
鈥淚f we understand what drives ocean extinction, we can also understand what we need to do to prevent or minimise it.
鈥淲e need to understand that the oceans aren鈥檛 just a big dumping ground for human waste, contaminants and CO2 鈥� a place we can afford to ignore or overexploit.
"They are closely linked to our own survival, wellbeing and prosperity as well as that of life on Earth in general.
鈥淓ven though we cannot easily see what is going on underwater, we need to recognise that the influence of 7 billion humans is now so great it governs the fate of life in the oceans.
"And we need to start taking responsibility for that.鈥�
He said: 鈥淭he situation is not hopeless.
"In fact we have seen clear evidence both from the past and the present that sea life can bounce back, given a chance to do so.
鈥淔or example, in Australia we have clear evidence of that good management of coral reefs can lead to recovery of both corals and fish numbers.
鈥淪o, rather, our paper is an appeal to humanity to give the oceans a chance.
鈥淚n effect, it says we need to stop releasing the CO2 that drives these massive extinction events, curb the polluted and nutrient-rich runoff from the land that is causing ocean 鈥榙ead zones鈥� manage our fisheries more sustainably and protect their habitat better.
鈥淎ll these things are possible, but people need to understand why they are essential.
"That is the first step in taking effective action to prevent extinctions.鈥�
Their paper 鈥淓xtinctions in ancient and modern seas鈥� by Paul G. Harnik, Heike K. Lotze, Sean C. Anderson, Zoe V. Finkel, Seth Finnegan, David R. Lindberg, Lee Hsiang Liow, Rowan Lockwood, Craig R. McClain, Jenny L. McGuire, Aaron O鈥橠ea, John M. Pandolfi, Carl Simpson and Derek P. Tittensor appears in the online edition of Trends in Ecology and Evolution (TREE).
More information:
Professor John Pandolfi, CoECRS and 国产探花, +61 7 3365 3050 or (m) +61 400 982 301
Jenny Lappin, CoECRS, +61 417 741 638
Jan King, 国产探花 Communications Manager, +61 (0)7 3365 1120
